Can Jagan really topple KKR?

Going by the sense of euphoria in the camp of Kadapa leader Ys Jaganmohan Reddy, the indications are that the former MP is in a position to topple the Kiran Kumar Reddy government in a couple of days.

This is despite the state and then restated words by Mr Jaganmohan Reddy himself that he would not pull down the state government till 2014.

Jagan loyalists however hint that the state government is either there or will be toppled in a couple of days.

With tense atmosphere overtaking the festive mood of the Congress circles, the moot point is whether they would be in a position to blow off the crisis or become a target of the Rayalaseema rebel leader who is implacably revengeful, to topple the AP government.

In political life, there no such thing as a friend or a foe. Opportunism serves the day no matter who he is.  

The Telangana issue reaching a boiling point on one hand and the Kadapa rebel leader Ys Jaganmohan Reddy's threat looming large on the other hand, the Kiran Kumar Reddy government is now a sandwiched 'prey' sailing in a rough weather.

So far there is no let up or any breather for the Chief Minister since he took Oath. His ineffective governance is being attributed to his being cornered, leaving all and sundry dissatisfied.

The High Command managers too are burning midnight oil to tide over tide over the crisis.

Rumours that Mr Kiran Kumar Reddy would be replaced by a Telangana MLA forced the High Command to issue a denial.

In political parlance, the democratic set- up can ill afford a situation such as this. It is more or less a mockery of democracy which might be advantageous to the rivals in the sub-continent. 

The Congress High Command whose effort was to check the dissidence with an iron hand did not cut much ice in the MLAs' ranks. Should only 14 more legislators switch sides the 'fall' seems imminent.

But the suspension of 21 Congress MLAs might trigger in resulting in a reversal of fortunes as the disqualification of 21 Legislators shall be the hope of Congress High Command with the handle of anti- defection act on the lines of Karnataka Speaker's modus operandi which had the backing of High Court some time back.

Perhaps the Congress is banking on such a hope remains to be seen. In such an event, sooner the Kadapa leader swings into action the better for him and his men.

His party's registration has been delayed by the Election Commission by two months quoting certain irregularities in the application. This is seen as another 'game plan' to negate Jagan's march. Thus the Congress has been buying time to negotiate the current issue to its advantage.

On the other, another adversary of Congress – Telugu Desam Party chief N Chandrababu Naidu has been maintaining stoic silence with his aide Yanamala Ramakrishnudu, with long innings as speaker of the assembly, sharing his thoughts on the tabling of a no confidence motion. His motion if at all tabled might draw blank.

With 155 MLAs on its side so far, MIM 7, PRP 16 (two joined Jagan) independents 3, the Congress government shall have a safe sailing. With 181 MLAs on its side the High Command can pass suspension orders to the 21 MLAs to enact the Karnataka-type drama to see through the Kiran Kumar Reddy government.